Learning from a black box

Shaowei Ke, Brain Wu, Chen Zhao

Research output: Contribution to journalJournal

Abstract

We introduce a learning model in which the decision maker does not know how recommendations are generated, called the contraction rule. We present behavioral postulates that characterize it. The contraction rule can be uniquely identified and reveals how the decision maker interprets and how much she trusts the recommendation. In a dynamic stationary setting, we show that the contraction rule is not dominated by completely following recommendations and is incompatible with a property called compliance with balanced recommendations. Following this negative result, we demonstrate that the contraction rule may generate and reinforce recency bias and disagreement.
Original languageEnglish
Article number105886
Number of pages21
JournalJournal of Economic Theory
Volume221
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - Oct 2024

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