TY - JOUR
T1 - Learning from a black box
AU - Ke, Shaowei
AU - Wu, Brain
AU - Zhao, Chen
PY - 2024/10
Y1 - 2024/10
N2 - We introduce a learning model in which the decision maker does not know how recommendations are generated, called the contraction rule. We present behavioral postulates that characterize it. The contraction rule can be uniquely identified and reveals how the decision maker interprets and how much she trusts the recommendation. In a dynamic stationary setting, we show that the contraction rule is not dominated by completely following recommendations and is incompatible with a property called compliance with balanced recommendations. Following this negative result, we demonstrate that the contraction rule may generate and reinforce recency bias and disagreement.
AB - We introduce a learning model in which the decision maker does not know how recommendations are generated, called the contraction rule. We present behavioral postulates that characterize it. The contraction rule can be uniquely identified and reveals how the decision maker interprets and how much she trusts the recommendation. In a dynamic stationary setting, we show that the contraction rule is not dominated by completely following recommendations and is incompatible with a property called compliance with balanced recommendations. Following this negative result, we demonstrate that the contraction rule may generate and reinforce recency bias and disagreement.
UR - https://www.webofscience.com/api/gateway?GWVersion=2&SrcApp=ceibs_wosapi&SrcAuth=WosAPI&KeyUT=WOS:001299250600001&DestLinkType=FullRecord&DestApp=WOS_CPL
U2 - 10.1016/j.jet.2024.105886
DO - 10.1016/j.jet.2024.105886
M3 - Journal
SN - 0022-0531
VL - 221
JO - Journal of Economic Theory
JF - Journal of Economic Theory
M1 - 105886
ER -